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What Ethiopian-Djiboutian Military Alliance against Eritrea Means

Ethiopian Prime Minister, Hailemariam Desalegn with Djibouti President, Ismaïl Omar Guelleh -(Photo by Orhan Karsli/Anadolu Agency/Getty Images)


When the puppet Ethiopian Prime Minister, Hailemariam Desalegn, visited Djibouti last week, no one was paying much attention until he mentioned his country was working on a defense alliance with Djibouti against Eritrea.

"Ethiopia is ready to defend and safeguard Ethio-Djibouti common borders," he said. "Our security officials will discuss on this issue and map out common stand."

Obviously, Eritrea isn't intimidated by a Djibouti-Ethiopia defense pact. To put things in perspective, the half dozen or so Ethiopian armed opposition groups based in Eritrea have a larger air and ground force than that of Djibouti's. In fact, just the TPDM alone is reported to have over 20,000 fighters1, while Djibouti's entire active military force is roughly around 16,000 troops.2

Ethiopia's latest anti-Eritrea comments may have to do more with its internal political crises than its northern neighbor.

In May, Ethiopia will spend tens of millions of dollars on a sham election that will likely ignite mass protest, unrest and rebellion against the regime. And from the election, the hidden power rivalries within the ruling group will come to the forefront, which is what the regime is afraid of.

As it stands, the real ruler of Ethiopia is Debretsion Gebremichael, who is one of the three Deputy Prime Ministers of  Ethiopia. Although he will most likely win the upcoming fake elections, that doesn't change the fact that his main rival, Abay Woldu, who is the President of the Tigray region and Chairman of TPLF, holds a considerable amount of power within the regime, and is at odds with him.

This is where the increased anti-Eritrea rhetoric of late comes in. Eritrea is a convenient boogeyman they are using in the hopes of uniting their rivaling factions by distracting them with an external enemy to rally against. Unfortunately for the TPLF clique, the Eritrea card was already used up in the late '90s.

In conclusion, with the sham elections on the horizon, and Ethiopia's regime split among rivaling factions, increased bravado towards Eritrea should be seen as a desperate sign to unify a small clique of Tigrayan men all vying for power.
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1. Page 29, https://www.scribd.com/doc/243121671/Leaked-SEMG-Report
2. https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/dj.html


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What Ethiopian-Djiboutian Military Alliance against Eritrea Means Reviewed by Admin on 1:02 PM Rating: 5

14 comments:

  1. if Eritreans would enjoy the same freedom Ethiopians enjoy,Eritreans would not have asked for more. all Eritreans even the crook ones, who are milking Eritrea dry,as we have recently heard and read that half of a billion of dollar was deposited in a Swizerland bank in a single bank alone, from individual Eritrean nationals ,know exactly that Ethiopians are better off 100 times than Eritreans in terms of basic rights.the brute regime in Asmera and its dogs and shiftas have no legitimacy at all to accuse Ethiopia or any other country on this planet about human rights.

    ReplyDelete
  2. This tells us how much Eritrea emerges power full in the region.

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  3. Ethiopians always like to compare us with them we don't know why ??We are small country with small populations you compare your self with Kenya,Sudan even Somalia but we are small then what ever happened it is not your concern first Get the hell out of our sovereign territories as everybody knows it doesn't belong to you

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  4. When there is a serious internal problems every time they mention "Eritrea". It is a chronic disease.

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  5. Your name tells all.

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  6. If i was you i would try and point fingers myself.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ikVl6auH83w

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  7. You are going to eat you words, once you find out who the Swiss bank clients really are !!! Then again you don't seem to care about humiliating yourself in public..As for comparing the rights of the two people, I can only say, " Afer be'duket Yisikal"!!! And even more after the election!!!

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  8. Well summarised dear Author.

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  9. IT IS NOT ABOUT POPULATION SIZE OR GEOGRAPHIC SIZE BUT THE SIZE OF THE HEART AND MIND.

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  10. HAHAH WE HAVE SEEN MORETHAN THIS BEFOR 4 AXIS OF EVIL LIKE ETHIOPIA ( WEYANE ) , YEMEN , DJIBOUTI , AND SUDAN WITH USA AND UK. SO WE ARE NOT SURPRISE BY THE SO CALLED ETHI-DJIBOUTI . THE ARE COLLECTION OF EMPTY CANNON. WHAT CAN DO ETHIOPIA ( WEYANE ) AT THIS TIME ? WHO CAN FIGHT FOR THEM ? FOR WHAT PURPPES ? DO THEY HAVEN SEEN DEMHIT 100,000 FRIDEM FIGTER`S ? HAVE THEY SEEN ARBEGNOCHE 25,000 FRIDOOM FIGHTERS ? HAVE THEY SEEN 45,000 OGADEN FRIDOOM FIGHTERS ? HAVE THEY SEEN 7000 BENSHANGUL FRIDOM FIGHTERS ? HAVE THEY SEEN 35,000 OROMO FRIDOOM FIGHTERS ? HAVE THEY SEEN 750,000 BRILIANT ERITREAN COMMANDO EDF ? I DO NOT THINK CAN TRY TO OPEN A WAR WITH ERITREA. ALL ETHIOPIAN SOLIDERS WILL GIVE THIR HAND TO EDF( ERITREAN DIFENS FORSE ) WITH OUT FIGHTING. WEYANE DAYES ARE NUMBERS. THEY WILL DISAPPIR FOREVER IN WORLD MAP FOREVER. LONG LIVE DEAR PR. ISAYAS AFEWORKI AND HGDF. HOLY GOD BLESS ERITREA FOREVER.

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  11. asede : you kondaf agame komal. leave Eritrean web for Eritrean. it is not your home. hassadat komalat.

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  12. NONSENSE !IT IS" AMEDE BEDUKETE SAKE" ERITREA BLAMING ETHIOPIA FOR HUMAN RIGHTS ABUSES.THERE IS NONE TO WITNESS WHAT IS GOING ON IN YOUR EAST AFRICAS KOREA;FOR YOU WHEREVER U ARE IT IS EASY TO WRITE WHAT U FEEL,BUT ERITREAN MASSES ARE SUFFERING UNDER YOUR PIA ,AND THUS THE EXODUS TO ETHIOPIA AND THE SUDAN?

    ReplyDelete
  13. Before you speculate too far, you indicated us why Ethio-Djib alliance comes. Cry Shaboo cry



    "To put things in perspective, the half dozen or so Ethiopian armed
    opposition groups based in Eritrea have a larger air and ground force
    than that of Djibouti's. In fact, just the TPDM alone is reported to
    have over 20,000 fighters1, while Djibouti's entire active military force is roughly around 16,000 troops.2"



    Read more: http://www.madote.com/2015/02/what-ethiopian-djiboutian-military.html#ixzz3RnQBHovN

    ReplyDelete

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